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Boom in domestic oil, gas saved U.S. economy

Posted: July 10, 2012 - 4:48pm

The U.S. economy added just 80,000 jobs in June(Mediocre Jobs Report), a third straight month of weak hiring. The unemployment rate was unchanged at 8.2 percent, but it would have been much worse without the boom in domestic oil and gas production.

There are actual labor shortages in expanding oil and gas areas of the U.S. like North Dakota’s Bakken Shale region. There, the business activity from thousands of new fracking wells have unemployment near 3 percent. Those wells force high pressure liquids into shale layers, releasing formerly trapped oil and gas deposits. This occurs beneath a mile or more of rock layer without damage to shallow fresh water supplies.

In northeastern Ohio, moribund since steel mills closed in the 1970s, a $650 million steel mill is being erected near Youngstown by 10 construction cranes for V&M Corporation to produce steel pipe and other equipment. The mill’s operation will create 350 long-term jobs by the end of 2012, more than doubling V&M’s local workforce. A V&M melt shop, where raw steel is produced by melting scrap in furnaces, will be the next big job creating project at that site.

Nearby in Carroll county, a new 350 acre industrial park is ready for oil and gas related projects. The state of Ohio is expecting 200,000 new jobs by 2018 from the Utica Shale which underlies most of eastern Ohio.

The growing replacement of coal by cleaner natural gas for U.S. electric power is good news for the environment and jobs. EPA rules which restrict coal’s mercury and sulfur (acid rain) emissions are forcing that shift to natural gas, now plentiful from this new fracking drilling technology. The decline in coal’s domestic market is being replaced by increased coal exports. From a 50 percent share of the U.S. electric power market five years ago, coal supplied just 42 percent in 2011, and it is now below 40 percent in 2012. A rise in natural gas use from 20 percent to near 30 percent at our electric utilities is making up most of the difference. At the same time wind and solar power have risen from 1 percent to 3-4 percent of U.S. electric energy supply.

Overall, the expansion in the oil and natural gas industries has created 500,000 good paying new jobs in the past decade. The expansion is not slowing down as several large shale reservoirs are now productive in various parts of the U.S. Overall, U.S. oil production has grown by 10 percent since 2008, and the import share of U.S. oil consumption has dropped to about 45 percent from 60 percent in 2005. This trend will continue, and a new study by Wood MacKenzie reports that oil and gas production could create an additional one million new U.S. jobs by 2018.

The touted jobs future in the “green” sector is limited by its cost per kilowatt-hour. Wind and solar are at least twice as expensive as electricity produced with natural gas. A study for Spain by King Carlos University showed that for every subsidized wind or solar job, more than two jobs were lost in energy consuming industries because of increased electric costs. Some of that Spanish production was moved to France with its lower cost nuclear energy.

There is an entirely new reality with U.S. energy production, consumption, and imports. New oil and gas supply is emerging, and fossil fuel demand is being limited by conservation and efficiency. It is too soon to talk of energy independence, but oil imports are declining to the point that most of our oil need could soon be met from friendly Western Hemisphere sources. Canada continues to develop its vast oil sands deposits, and Brazil will be producing from the world’s largest new oil discoveries in the off shore Santos basin.

As Daniel Yergin noted recently in The New York Times, “What is striking is this great revival in oil and gas production in the United States, with wide impacts on jobs, economic development and the competitiveness of American industry. This new reality requires a new way of thinking about America’s improving energy position and how to facilitate this growth in an environmentally sound way — recognizing the benefits this will bring in an era of economic uncertainty.”

Let’s hope that our government gets the message and supports energy programs that replace imports with American jobs.

(ROLF WESTGARD is a professional member of the Geological Society of America and the American Association of Petroleum Geologists. He teaches classes on energy subjects for the University of Minnesota Lifelong Learning program.)

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Fair n Balanced
40535
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Fair n Balanced 07/10/12 - 08:07 pm
4
2

But Rolf,

everyone knows that fracking is causing earthquakes in Wisconsin and is draining the water out of the Great Lakes. How dare you print this fabrication, in obvious dissent from the DNC platform? The wrath of snow may follow.

rolflindy
5869
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rolflindy 07/10/12 - 09:58 pm
4
1

The wrath of snow

Wrath of snow not likely, and I have already had my blows from the DFL hierarchy.
As to fracking, as you are aware, if wells are properly cased, and waste water recycled or properly disposed of, there is little danger to the environment from fracking drilling. Rolf

Fair n Balanced
40535
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Fair n Balanced 07/10/12 - 10:39 pm
4
2

You need to

make the left wing understand that.

OldFarmBoy
36190
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OldFarmBoy 07/11/12 - 06:57 am
3
1

fish & annie

Are not going to like this Rolf. I like your last paragraph but I dont think this current Pres would aree with you. Good read!!

rolflindy
5869
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rolflindy 07/11/12 - 07:27 am
3
0

Farm Boy

They don't teach Geology in law school.

OldFarmBoy
36190
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OldFarmBoy 07/11/12 - 08:33 am
2
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Your buddy

Ellen & some other women I know always make me scratch my head when they do not take their husbands last names when married. I never trust a lawyer.

pdnet15
15785
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pdnet15 07/11/12 - 09:26 am
4
0

Rolf, according to statesman.com

Fracking uses huge amounts of water — millions of gallons in some cases — and some of the chemicals that are pumped underground are toxic. The wastewater that flushes back to the surface is not only tainted with these dangerous chemicals but also sometimes contains radioactive elements that naturally occur underground.There's even concern that fracking causes earthquakes.
I have also heard that chemicals released into the air when natural gas is produced by hydraulic fracturing may pose a health risk. Do you still believe that this is safe?

rolflindy
5869
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rolflindy 07/11/12 - 09:33 am
3
0

It's safe

if properly managed.
The chemicals in the pumped water aren't a problem. Chemicals released from the oil and gas can be - things like hydrogen sulfide and benzene which are toxic and have to be monitored.
Any radioactivity is trivial as are earthquakes. Nature does those better.

Cheyenne43
7877
Points
Cheyenne43 07/11/12 - 10:01 am
1
2

Rolf,

how do we know "The chemicals in the pumped water aren't a problem"?

rolflindy
5869
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rolflindy 07/11/12 - 12:57 pm
1
0

Chey

Partly because we have drilled at least 50,000 wells using them without problems. They are mostly soap and sand. If you want to worry, worry about benzene - very nasty.
Rolf

beenaroundtheblock
60
Points
beenaroundtheblock 07/11/12 - 02:03 pm
4
4

here we go again

I wish these half-truths perpetuated as fact would end.

Natural gas, compared to coal is a wonderful thing. Coal has been inexpensive as most of the plants are very old (but dirty) and long depreciated out. Natural gas is about $4 MMBtu today up from $2.22 this past March. However, don't expect gas to stay inexpensive long. Chesapeake Energy, the #2 gas developer in the US has lost 75% of it's value this year, as it now costs more to extract gas then it sells for; compare today's cost to $15.38 MMBtu back in Dec 2005.

Has your home gas bill dropped equally?

Don't forget that each fracked well requires between 2 million & 5 million gallons of water, which often causes a myriad of problems in many drought-stricken areas.

I know you hate wind, but it can be firmed via gas or hydro, thus performing the same at nearly the same acquistion costs. Utilities are buying wind for less than 4 cents on a 20 year contract, which is not twice as much as natural gas as you claim. And guess what, after the wind farm is operational there is no fuel to buy - what could that do for our electric rates?

Lastly, please bury the King Carlos Univ study that claimed each so-called "green" job cost two "real" jobs. Give me a break. This "study" has been debunked by virtually every indepentent organization from the Spanish Govt to the US Dept of Energy. This study, as you know, was funded by the "American Energy Alliance", & guess who funds that? ExxonMobil and Koch Industries, owners of Alberta tar sand oil fields & the Koch oil pipeline which also runs through MN.

rolflindy
5869
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rolflindy 07/11/12 - 05:50 pm
1
0

Blowing in the wind

Our biggest wind farm, Cape Wind off Cape Cod, has to charge 21 cents/kwh to make it, even with other subsidies. The only way wind can sell for competitive prices is with the per kwh tax payer subsidies. Industrial wind IMO is basically a scam, requiring backup gas plants to constantly recycle on and off.
The subsidy per green job in Spain runs about $700,000 which is one reason spain is currently seeking hundreds of billins in bail out money. And the King Carlos study is for real.
In drought areas the high water use for fracking requires that it be recycled.
And you are right about the effect of the NG price. A lot those fracking wells are marginal with gas under $3. It is not the $4 you claim. That's about as correct as the mythical 4 cents that wind farms can charge. The wind is free, but the 150 tons of concrete and steel in each turbine is not free.
Rolf

beenaroundtheblock
60
Points
beenaroundtheblock 07/11/12 - 07:44 pm
0
2

you're somewhat right

Cape Wind is a political boodoggle, agreed. makes no sense whatsoever, but pushed through by special interests on the East Coast. Do a little research on King Carlos, that also is a scam paid for by special interests.
The water to be recycled from fracking is high in salt content and not very appealing for most muncipalities.Lastly, NG in LA was at $4 three days ago.
Agreed, concrete & steel indeed is not free, nor are wells, coal plants & nuke plants.

rolflindy
5869
Points
rolflindy 07/11/12 - 09:02 pm
2
0

Windsource costs

A number of utilities allow customers to "buy" wind power. Xcel energy has such a program called Windsource. All of these programs ask the the customer to pay EXTRA because wind power costs more, even with its subsidies.
There is a role for wind and solar, but their intermittent and costly output limits them to single digit contributions to our electric supply.
Wholesale NG is $2.86 today, the highest it has been for many months.
And recycled fracking water is not for drinking, but for more fracking. Those wells are now costing in the $5-8 million range, and struggle to make any money at current NG prices.

rolflindy
5869
Points
rolflindy 07/11/12 - 09:17 pm
1
0

More wind studies

A new study called “Worth The Candle?” by the consulting firm Verso Economics confirms the experience of Spain and other countries: The creation of “green” jobs destroys other jobs through the diversion of resources and the denial of abundant sources of fossil fuel energy.
The economic candle in the U.K. is being blown out by wind power. The Verso study finds that after the annual diversion of some 330 million British pounds from the rest of the U.K. economy, the result has been the destruction of 3.7 jobs for every “green” job created.
Another one by Bentek Consultants describes the wind power folly in Colorado :
HOW LESS BECAME MORE…
Wind, Power and Unintended Consequences
in the Colorado Energy Market
Easy to find it on Google. Lots of real facts and figures.

rolflindy
5869
Points
rolflindy 07/11/12 - 09:30 pm
1
0

Britain's royalty on wind power

The Duke of Edinburgh has launched a withering assault on the wind turbine industry, calling the wind farms “a disgrace”. He also criticized the industry’s reliance on subsidies from electricity customers, claimed wind farms would “never work”, and accused people who support them of believing in a “fairy tale”. Two-thirds of England’s wind turbines are owned by foreign companies, which are estimated to reap $800 million a year in subsidies.
The Duke’s attack on the turbines, believed to be the first public insight into his views on the matter, came in a conversation with the managing director of a leading wind farm company. When Esbjorn Wilmar, of Infinergy, which builds and operates turbines, introduced himself to the Duke at a reception in London, he found himself on the end of an outspoken attack on his industry.
“He said they were absolutely useless, completely reliant on subsidies and an absolute disgrace,” said Mr Wilmar. “I was surprised by his very frank views.”

Doesn't surprise me. REW

fishhead
5344
Points
fishhead 07/12/12 - 06:43 am
0
2

The unemployment rate would

The unemployment rate would be even lower had the conservatives not stood in the way of the stimulus and if we had put that money into conservation.

Retrofitting existing government buildings to conserve energy would have employed tens of thousands of workers and reduced our future energy demand as well as reducing the output of the gases that threaten our future.

I've read that the earthquakes caused by the fracking industry are caused by the disposal wells it uses to dispose of the toxic chemicals it uses.

rolflindy
5869
Points
rolflindy 07/12/12 - 10:18 am
1
0

earthquakes, etc

More logical is that any earthquakes would be from the fracking wells which are forcing large amounts of water at very high pressure into cracks in the earth.
Disposal wells are not new. Far more of them have been in use for many decades to dispose of the salt water that nearly always comes up with oil from oil wells. In general, they have not caused a big problem. Saline aquifers(fancy name for water logged rock) are common deep below the surface. They are naturally separated from shallow fresh water by layers of insulating rock or we wouldn't have our fresh water wells.

Fracking is not without risk. The gain is the elimination of a lot of serious polluting coal burning in exchange for what is a much less serious risk. In April, coal was down to about 35% of electric power from 50% a couple years ago. Almost all of that difference is from new NG. We know the harm that coal burning does; it is a lot worse than some phony flaming faucets. REW

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