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New Minnesota budget forecast shows $323 million surplus

Posted: February 29, 2012 - 11:05am

ST. PAUL, Minn. (AP) — A new economic forecast being released Wednesday shows Minnesota has a $323 million budget surplus.

The forecast is outlined in a summary document prepared by Minnesota Management and Budget and obtained by The Associated Press from two people who received it ahead of its official release. They provided the information on condition of anonymity because state budget officials were not scheduled to detail the forecast publicly until later in the day.

The summary document also notes the entirety of the surplus already is spoken for under current law.

The first $5 million will be used to replenish the state's budget reserve, lifting that emergency fund to a total of $653 million. The remainder, $318 million, will be used to begin repaying more than $2 billion in state aid payments to school districts that were delayed as part of last year's compromise between Gov. Mark Dayton and lawmakers to close a large budget deficit.

The cushion in the state budget is a sign to state lawmakers that Minnesota's economy continues to stay on the mend. It's likely to set the tone for the remainder of the legislative session, giving ammunition to supporters of more state borrowing for new construction projects and backers of a state-aided Minnesota Vikings stadium.

The Management and Budget office was scheduled to publicly release the forecast at a Capitol briefing shortly before noon.

The summary document said about two-thirds of the $323 million surplus could be attributed to a slowdown in state spending. Republican lawmakers are likely to seize on that fact as evidence their attempts last year to instill frugality in state spending have paid off.

State Budget Commissioner Jim Schowalter had warned Tuesday not to expect a major shift from the last economic forecast in December, which showed a significant improvement in the health of the state's general fund only a few months after Dayton and Republicans finally resolved that deficit.

"I think if you look at all the information that's already out there, the state's economic indicators, you'd say we're pretty much on course," Schowalter said.

The December forecast showed an $876 million budget surplus after income and corporate tax collections came in higher than expected; state health care costs came in lower than predicted; and the state's economy outperformed those of other states.

But Schowalter said that surplus already is gone. By law, he said, all but about $5 million was shifted to a budget reserve fund and the state's cash flow account. That remaining $5 million shortage will be replenished with the new surplus.

Republicans and Democratic leaders in the Legislature were in rare agreement that the first priority should be starting to restore more than $2 billion in state aid payments to schools that were delayed as part of last year's budget fix. But individual lawmakers still could move to change the law that ensures repayment of the school shifts if they have other priorities for the additional money.

___

Associated Press reporter Brian Bakst contributed to this report.

Copyright 2012 The Associated Press.

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Myeye08
3937
Points
Myeye08 02/29/12 - 04:25 pm
1
2

Surplus???

How can we end up with a surplus with a Republican controlled house and senate? This can't be true with no "smart people" in control... accounting shifts or just good money management? A real head banger for sure!

minnesnowda
16954
Points
minnesnowda 02/29/12 - 06:01 pm
1
1

It's not an honest state budget

it's a shell game of moving things around, if we repay the schools it's gone.

Q: how are your property taxes? LGA was cut so much we needed to keep fire, police and basic services.

Having said that, it appears the economy is coming back again. yeh!

OldFarmBoy
36314
Points
OldFarmBoy 02/29/12 - 06:09 pm
1
1

Snow

Just where do you live?? The economy is coming back? Fuel price for this area. Just what do you think runs this area? now I have to sneak out to garage & light one up but I have never Inhaled. Me thinks your appear is smoke & mirrors!!!

smartguy
1209
Points
smartguy 02/29/12 - 06:33 pm
2
1

FarmBoy

If you look at most indicators, even those that are lagging (such as unemployment rate), the economy is gaining steam.

GDP is positive (though not robust), durable goods orders have been up, manufacturing is rehiring, the Dow is back at 13,000 (pre 2008 levels), inflation isn't out of hand.

We tend to feel the economic upswing late because we depend on tourist dollars trickling in.

Cheyenne43
7881
Points
Cheyenne43 02/29/12 - 06:40 pm
3
1

From the article, Farmboy

"The December forecast showed an $876 million budget surplus after income and corporate tax collections came in higher than expected; state health care costs came in lower than predicted; and the state's economy outperformed those of other states."

"The cushion in the state budget is a sign to state lawmakers that Minnesota's economy continues to stay on the mend."

OldFarmBoy
36314
Points
OldFarmBoy 02/29/12 - 07:07 pm
0
0

Smart & chey

I really really hope your right. I have been around thee block once or twice myself & I keep playing my theme song to Ma from the Animals(We gotta get outta this place) Its been a nice 40+ yrs coming to this area but time to follow the $$$$.
Alaska maybe I can get a job for Sarah babe. Only lived here 28+. My has 371 from Paul Bunyan changed a bit from 68.

OldFarmBoy
36314
Points
OldFarmBoy 02/29/12 - 07:44 pm
1
0

P.S.

Chey are you trying to contradict your buddy Snow? Fed or St?

Smart- 1 or 2 before $$$$ ventures north son.

Myeye08
3937
Points
Myeye08 03/01/12 - 06:51 am
1
0

Inflation not out of hand?

It doesn't take long for some to adapt to the new norm I guess.

lamigra
4
Points
lamigra 03/01/12 - 12:32 pm
0
0

Obama's claim of lower

Obama's claim of lower unemployment.....after the people have diminished their 99 weeks of unemployment they go off the record of being on ''unemployment'' and magically the numbers do look good, even though they are still unemployed. Smoke n mirrors, the economy, hahahaha just read again that the FEDs are not in the least bit concerned if oil gets to $200 a barrel, kinda weird as seeing Obama's main political contributions come from the oil industry, and his clear denial of keystone, didn't he bash Bush for being big oil? The rest of the ''economy growing'' wow printing billions for circulation and having interest rates at what 0...this will not work long term, the stock market will absolutely tank to record lows when they have to raise the interest rates and should then destroy the dollar, then we add in some serious projected inflation like you have never seen.( Not to mention unemployment will be 3 times worse than what we have now) The US, I think is living on borrowed time my friends. I hope not, but wowser it is not looking good. Dems, Repubs, everyone in politics have steered us to the iceberg and they all jumped into the life boats and left us to drown in the tank. ''We the people'' has a nice ring for a single and non-partisan party.

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